Start Rico Dowdle or George Holani? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 8:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Rico Dowdle over George Holani

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 8.0; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 81 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

George Holani

RB · SEA · vs KC

Market projects: 6.4; recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB: 19.0; 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 21 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 41%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for George Holani?

Yes, on the rest of the season. George Holani projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.9 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over George Holani. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Rico Dowdle over George Holani in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 8.0 points and George Holani at 6.4, a gap of 1.6. No player market is posted for George Holani this week yet, so his 6.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (8.4, 5.5 and 5.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 34 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (10, 9, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for George Holani yet. His market-based projections were 8.4, 5.6 and 5.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 6.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for George Holani is 0.2 touchdowns (4 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.6 points ahead of George Holani on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

George Holani and SEA host KC on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 64 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

George Holani is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle played 36 percent of PIT snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, George Holani played 41 percent of SEA snaps, took 19 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

George Holani, Week 3 against WAS: 24 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 10 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 48 yards.

George Holani, Week 4 against LAC: 22 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

George Holani, Week 5 against SF: 26 of 63 snaps, 4 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

George Holani, Week 6 against DEN: 49 of 85 snaps, 5 carries for 20 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, George Holani played 11 games for SEA and scored 20.8 PPR points, 1.9 a game, finishing RB93.

He ran 22 times for 73 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 5 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for George Holani?
Yes, on the rest of the season. George Holani projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.9 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over George Holani. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop George Holani for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep George Holani: he projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.9 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over George Holani.