Start Makai Lemon or Jalen Nailor? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 9:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Makai Lemon over Jalen Nailor

Start

Makai Lemon

WR · PHI · vs DAL

Market projects: 6.4; recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR: 36.2; 7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 70 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 72%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · vs LAR

Market projects: 5.1; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR: 26.9; 4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 22 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Makai Lemon?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Makai Lemon projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Makai Lemon over Jalen Nailor.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Makai Lemon over Jalen Nailor in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Makai Lemon at 6.4 points and Jalen Nailor at 5.1, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Makai Lemon this week yet, so his 6.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.7, 7.2 and 5.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (4.3 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Makai Lemon at ADP 140 and Jalen Nailor at 174.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.9 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.1 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Makai Lemon yet. His market-based projections were 6.7, 7.2 and 5.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 6.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Makai Lemon is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Makai Lemon 1.3 points ahead of Jalen Nailor on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 104 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LAR.

Makai Lemon and PHI host DAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DAL allowed 36.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 169 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Makai Lemon has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Makai Lemon is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor played 51 percent of LV snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 2 against LAC: 38 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Makai Lemon played 72 percent of PHI snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Makai Lemon, Week 3 against CHI: 35 of 50 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 4 against LAR: 45 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 5 against JAX: 50 of 62 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards.

Makai Lemon, Week 6 against CAR: 52 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Makai Lemon?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Makai Lemon projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Makai Lemon over Jalen Nailor.
Should I drop Makai Lemon for Jalen Nailor?
No. Keep Makai Lemon: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Makai Lemon over Jalen Nailor.