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Start Josh Downs or Jameson Williams? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 9:21 PM ET.

Start Jameson Williams over Josh Downs

Williams projects lower, 11.5 to 14.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 44 for Williams, 96 for Downs.

Start

Jameson Williams

WR · DET · vs GB

Market projects
11.5
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
30.3
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 5
Target share
15%
Through Week 5
Sit

Josh Downs

WR · IND · at MIN

Market projects
14.2
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
27.1
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
80%
Through Week 6
Target share
21%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Josh Downs for Jameson Williams?

Not on these numbers alone. Josh Downs projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.1 a game over 10 games) and Jameson Williams 124 (11.3 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameson Williams over Josh Downs.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jameson Williams over Josh Downs in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jameson Williams at 11.5 points and Josh Downs at 14.2, a gap of 2.7. Jameson Williams still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 44 against 96, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jameson Williams this week yet, so his 11.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.2 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 14.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.3 and 12.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 16.3 and 12.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jameson Williams yet. His market-based projections were 12.2 and 10.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Josh Downs 2.7 points ahead of Jameson Williams on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Josh Downs and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 27.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

Jameson Williams and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 30.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against GB.

By points allowed to the position, Jameson Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Jameson Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Josh Downs played 80 percent of IND snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Through Week 5, Jameson Williams played 90 percent of DET snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Jameson Williams, Week 2 against BUF: 63 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 3 against NYJ: 53 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 4 against CAR: 70 of 71 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 102 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 5 against ARI: 59 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 47 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jameson Williams played 17 games for DET and scored 219.9 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR12.

He caught 65 of 102 targets for 1117 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 676 air yards.

He was on the field for 90 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Jameson Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Josh Downs projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.1 a game over 10 games) and Jameson Williams 124 (11.3 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameson Williams over Josh Downs.

  • Should I drop Jameson Williams for Josh Downs?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jameson Williams projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.3 a game over 11 games) and Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameson Williams over Josh Downs.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board