Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Javonte Williams?

Not on these numbers alone. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games) and Javonte Williams 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren.

Start Jaylen Warren or Javonte Williams? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren

Williams projects lower, 16.1 to 17.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 33 for Williams, 62 for Warren.

Start

Javonte Williams

RB · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 16.1; fantasy pts
PHI D vs RB: 20.5; 16th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 74 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 17.2; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 87 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6
Target share: 14%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren?

Not on these numbers alone. Javonte Williams projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games) and Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Javonte Williams at 16.1 points and Jaylen Warren at 17.2, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Javonte Williams still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 33 against 62, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Warren is 63 rushing yards, 26 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.8 touchdowns (12, 12, 9 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Javonte Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Javonte Williams is 67 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.9 touchdowns (8, 8, 8 and 11 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Warren 1.1 points ahead of Javonte Williams on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Javonte Williams and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against PHI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Javonte Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren played 76 percent of PIT snaps, took 69 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 59 of 79 snaps, 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Javonte Williams played 76 percent of DAL snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

Javonte Williams, Week 3 against BAL: 56 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 98 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 4 against HOU: 58 of 78 snaps, 19 carries for 62 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Javonte Williams, Week 5 against TB: 51 of 60 snaps, 12 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 6 against GB: 57 of 78 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Javonte Williams played 16 games for DAL and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.

He ran 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren?
Not on these numbers alone. Javonte Williams projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games) and Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren.
Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Javonte Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games) and Javonte Williams 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren.