Start Kenny Gainwell or Justice Hill? Week 7
Updated Oct 19, 9:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill
Gainwell projects lower, 4.8 to 5.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 206 for Hill.
- Market projects
- 4.8
- recent weeks avg
- CAR D vs RB
- 28.0
- 4th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 41%
- Through Week 6
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 6
- Market projects
- 5.5
- recent weeks avg
- CIN D vs RB
- 18.6
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 42%
- Through Week 6
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 6
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Our Week 7 call
Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill in Week 7.
Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 4.8 points and Justice Hill at 5.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 4.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (4.3 and 5.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (4.9 and 6.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 7 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.9 and 6.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.
No Week 7 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 4.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.
That puts Justice Hill 0.8 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.
Week 7 matchups
Justice Hill and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.
Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 120 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 38 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Justice Hill is not on the injury report.
Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 7
Through Week 6, Justice Hill played 42 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.
Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell played 41 percent of TB snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.
He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.
He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 7 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Week 6 on the board
- Is Kenny Gainwell playing Week 6?
- Is Justice Hill playing Week 6?
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Ravens depth chart
- Week 6 RB rankings
- Week 6 fantasy rankings
- Week 6 start or sit
- Week 7 waiver wire
- Week 6 trade value chart
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 6
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 6 kicker rankings
- Week 6 defense rankings