Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Kaleb Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Kaleb Johnson

Start

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB: 18.9; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)

Sit

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 18 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 22%; Through Week 6
Target share: 2%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Kaleb Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaleb Johnson projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Kaleb Johnson. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Kaleb Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 6.3 points and Kaleb Johnson at 5.2, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.7, 6.0 and 3.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Tyrone Tracy Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyrone Tracy Jr. is 24 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 6.7, 6.0 and 3.0 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Tyrone Tracy Jr. 1.0 points ahead of Kaleb Johnson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyrone Tracy Jr. and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 76 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Kaleb Johnson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyrone Tracy Jr. is not on the injury report.

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kaleb Johnson played 22 percent of GB snaps, took 29 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 3 against ATL: 24 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games for NYG and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He ran 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 18 carries for 103 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.9 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 42 of 64 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -5 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 35 of 56 snaps, 16 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 9.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Kaleb Johnson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaleb Johnson projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Kaleb Johnson. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?
No. Keep Kaleb Johnson: he projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Kaleb Johnson.