Start Tez Johnson or Kalif Raymond? Week 7

Updated Oct 23, 2:51 AM ET. Locked at kickoff. Graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tez Johnson over Kalif Raymond

Start

Tez Johnson

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 6.5; fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 8 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 34%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kalif Raymond

WR · CHI · vs NE · final

Market projected: 6.4; pre-game
NE D vs WR: 31.7; 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 38 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 60%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Kalif Raymond?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kalif Raymond projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.6 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games).

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tez Johnson over Kalif Raymond in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tez Johnson at 6.5 points and Kalif Raymond at 6.4, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tez Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 28 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Kalif Raymond, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kalif Raymond is 26 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tez Johnson 0.1 points ahead of Kalif Raymond on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tez Johnson and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Kalif Raymond and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Kalif Raymond has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Kalif Raymond is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson played 34 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 3 against MIN: 16 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Through Week 6, Kalif Raymond played 60 percent of CHI snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Kalif Raymond, Week 3 against PHI: 54 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kalif Raymond, Week 4 against NYJ: 47 of 93 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Kalif Raymond, Week 5 against GB: 47 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Kalif Raymond, Week 6 against ATL: 36 of 77 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kalif Raymond played 15 games for DET and scored 66.8 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR94.

He caught 24 of 30 targets for 289 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 132 air yards.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Kalif Raymond?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kalif Raymond projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.6 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games).
Should I drop Kalif Raymond for Tez Johnson?
No. Keep Kalif Raymond: he projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.6 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Kalif Raymond?