Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Roschon Johnson?

Not on these numbers alone. Rico Dowdle projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.6 a game over 10 games) and Roschon Johnson 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson, 7.8 to 5.8 projected PPR points.

Start Rico Dowdle or Roschon Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 2:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 7.8; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Roschon Johnson

RB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 5.8; fantasy pts
NE D vs RB: 20.6; 16th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 22%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Rico Dowdle?

Not on these numbers alone. Roschon Johnson projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson, 7.8 to 5.8 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 7.8 points and Roschon Johnson at 5.8, a gap of 1.9. Roschon Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 10, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.8 fantasy points for Roschon Johnson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Roschon Johnson is 0.4 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.9 points ahead of Roschon Johnson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Roschon Johnson and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Roschon Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle played 36 percent of PIT snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Roschon Johnson played 22 percent of CHI snaps, took 16 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Roschon Johnson, Week 2 against MIN: 1 of 74 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Roschon Johnson, Week 4 against NYJ: 10 of 93 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Roschon Johnson, Week 5 against GB: 27 of 69 snaps, 5 carries for 6 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 34 yards.

Roschon Johnson, Week 6 against ATL: 31 of 77 snaps, 13 carries for 51 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Roschon Johnson played 7 games for CHI and scored 1.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing RB134.

He ran 2 times for 17 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Rico Dowdle?
Not on these numbers alone. Roschon Johnson projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson, 7.8 to 5.8 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Roschon Johnson?
Not on these numbers alone. Rico Dowdle projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.6 a game over 10 games) and Roschon Johnson 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Roschon Johnson, 7.8 to 5.8 projected PPR points.