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Trade Caleb Williams for Dalton Kincaid? Yes, Kincaid is worth 10 more.

Yes on value. Dalton Kincaid is worth 26 rest of season and Caleb Williams 16, so the side getting Kincaid gains 10. Williams rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Kincaid 12.0 with 10. On usage, Williams has thrown 30.3 passes and run 6.0 times a game; Kincaid has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets. Williams hosts NE in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to QBs); Kincaid is on bye in Week 7. Dalton Kincaid is listed Questionable (ribs).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Dalton Kincaid wins by 10.

Caleb Williams 1626 Dalton Kincaid

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Caleb Williams

QB2CHI

16

value, #63

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Caleb Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projectionno projection18.518.6

Dalton Kincaid

TE7BUFQuestionable

26

value, #50

Pts/game
12.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
Dalton Kincaid weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.312.311.711.7no projection

Where the values come from

Williams is the 2nd quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 16.

Kincaid is the 7th tight end on the chart and 50th overall. His 12.0 a game is 2.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 26.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Caleb Williams at 18.5 in Week 6 and 18.6 in Week 7, a median of 18.5 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.7 in Week 5 and 11.7 in Week 6, a median of 12.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Caleb Williams has scored 62.5 PPR points in 3 games, 20.8 a game, 2.3 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB5 with 325.2 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 37.3 points (QB1 that week), 269 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 65 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 8.7 points (QB27 that week), 138 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 42 rushing yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 16.5 points (QB15 that week), 305 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 3 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Dalton Kincaid has scored 60.5 PPR points in 6 games, 10.1 a game, 1.9 a game less than the 12.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 3.7 points (TE38 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 10.8 points (TE16 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams has averaged 30.3 attempts, 237 passing yards and 1.0 touchdown passes a game, with 6.0 runs for 37 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against ATL he went 30 of 36 for 305 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 53 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 8 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Caleb Williams has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Dalton Kincaid has 10 games with his bye in Week 7.

NE, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 14.6 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Caleb Williams would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Kincaid also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Caleb Williams and Dalton Kincaid

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Caleb Williams for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes on value: Dalton Kincaid is worth 26 and Caleb Williams 16, a gain of 10. If Caleb Williams starts for you and Dalton Kincaid would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Caleb Williams or Dalton Kincaid?

    Dalton Kincaid, 26 to 16. He rates 12.0 market points a game over 10 games left, against 18.5 over 10 for Caleb Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 10:36 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number