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Trade Chase Brown for DeVonta Smith? No, Brown is worth 20 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 77 rest of season and DeVonta Smith 57, so giving up Brown costs 20. Brown rates 15.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Smith 14.8 with 10. On usage, Brown has 65 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets. Brown is at BAL in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to RBs); Smith hosts DAL in Week 7 (7th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 20.

Chase Brown 7757 DeVonta Smith

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

77

value, #18

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
16.117.412.0no projection14.7

DeVonta Smith

WR11PHI

57

value, #29

Pts/game
14.8
Games left
10
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
15.314.32.1no projection16.3

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 18th overall. His 15.4 a game is 7.0 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 77.

Smith is the 11th receiver on the chart and 29th overall. His 14.8 a game is 5.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 57.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 12.0 in Week 5 and 14.7 in Week 7, a median of 15.4 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 2.1 in Week 5 and 16.3 in Week 7, a median of 14.8 points a game, up 0.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 2.4 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB35 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards, 60 percent of snaps.

DeVonta Smith has scored 69.0 PPR points in 4 games, 17.3 a game, 2.4 a game more than the 14.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CAR: 20.5 points (WR8 that week), 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Chase Brown has averaged 14.2 carries for 49 yards and 5.6 targets and 4.8 catches for 25 yards a game on 70 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 14 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 5 against MIA he had 13 carries and 4 targets on 60 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has averaged 10.3 targets and 6-7 catches for 78 yards a game on 86 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 6 against CAR he had 14 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with no bye left; DeVonta Smith has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

BAL, Brown's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 18.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to RBs of 32.

DAL, Smith's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 36.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting DeVonta Smith would want about 20 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 20. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Tucker Kraft's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and DeVonta Smith

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for DeVonta Smith?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 77 and DeVonta Smith 57, a loss of 20. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or DeVonta Smith?

    Chase Brown, 77 to 57. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.8 over 10 for DeVonta Smith, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 9:36 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number