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Trade Dalton Kincaid for Michael Wilson? No, Kincaid is worth 9 more.

No on value. Dalton Kincaid is worth 26 rest of season and Michael Wilson 17, so giving up Kincaid costs 9. Kincaid rates 12.0 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 10.9 with 10. On usage, Kincaid has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets. Kincaid is on bye in Week 7; Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs). Dalton Kincaid is listed Questionable (ribs).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Dalton Kincaid wins by 9.

Dalton Kincaid 2617 Michael Wilson

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Dalton Kincaid

TE6BUFQuestionable

26

value, #49

Pts/game
12.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
Dalton Kincaid weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.312.311.711.7no projection

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Where the values come from

Kincaid is the 6th tight end on the chart and 49th overall. His 12.0 a game is 2.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 26.

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.7 in Week 5 and 11.7 in Week 6, a median of 12.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dalton Kincaid has scored 60.5 PPR points in 6 games, 10.1 a game, 1.9 a game less than the 12.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 3.7 points (TE38 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 10.8 points (TE16 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 53 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 8 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Dalton Kincaid has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Michael Wilson has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Michael Wilson would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Kincaid also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Dalton Kincaid and Michael Wilson

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dalton Kincaid for Michael Wilson?

    No on value: Dalton Kincaid is worth 26 and Michael Wilson 17, a loss of 9. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Kincaid.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dalton Kincaid or Michael Wilson?

    Dalton Kincaid, 26 to 17. He rates 12.0 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.9 over 10 for Michael Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number