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Trade Derrick Henry for Kyren Williams? Yes, Williams is worth 18 more.

Yes on value. Kyren Williams is worth 90 rest of season and Derrick Henry 72, so the side getting Williams gains 18. Henry rates 15.6 market points a game with 10 games left, Williams 17.4 with 10. On usage, Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 6 percent of its targets; Williams has 56 percent of LAR carries and 16 percent of its targets. Henry hosts CIN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs); Williams is at LV in Week 7 (7th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Kyren Williams wins by 18.

Derrick Henry 7290 Kyren Williams

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Derrick Henry

RB15BAL

72

value, #24

Pts/game
15.6
Games left
10
Bye
13
Derrick Henry weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
18.418.615.614.915.1

Kyren Williams

RB6LAR

90

value, #11

Pts/game
17.4
Games left
10
Bye
11
Kyren Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
13.314.317.417.917.7

Where the values come from

Henry is the 15th running back on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.6 a game is 7.2 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 72.

Williams is the 6th running back on the chart and 11th overall. His 17.4 a game is 9.0 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 90.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4, 15.6 in Week 5, 14.9 in Week 6 and 15.1 in Week 7, a median of 15.6 points a game, down 3.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Kyren Williams at 13.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 17.4 in Week 5, 17.9 in Week 6 and 17.7 in Week 7, a median of 17.4 points a game, up 4.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Derrick Henry has scored 116.8 PPR points in 6 games, 19.5 a game, 3.9 a game more than the 15.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB5 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CLE: 5.0 points (RB40 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 58 percent of snaps.

Kyren Williams has scored 119.0 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 2.4 a game more than the 17.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB9 with 263.3 PPR points in 17 games, 15.5 a game.

Week 1 vs SF: 15.5 points (RB15 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYG: 15.7 points (RB8 that week), 85 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DEN: 21.8 points (RB5 that week), 88 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PHI: 36.7 points (RB1 that week), 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, 10 of 13 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BUF: 19.6 points (RB6 that week), 49 rushing yards on 16 carries, 6 of 8 targets for 27 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ARI: 9.7 points (RB24 that week), 50 rushing yards on 10 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 17 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry has averaged 21.7 carries for 89 yards and 1.7 targets and 1-2 catches for 11 yards a game on 58 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 33 times inside the 20, 53 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 8 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against CLE he had 17 carries and 1 target on 58 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Kyren Williams has averaged 13.3 carries for 66 yards and 6-7 targets and 5.0 catches for 36 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against ARI he had 10 carries and 6 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Derrick Henry has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Kyren Williams has 10 games with his bye in Week 11.

CIN, Henry's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 18.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

LV, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Derrick Henry would want about 18 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 18. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Derrick Henry and Kyren Williams

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Derrick Henry for Kyren Williams?

    Yes on value: Kyren Williams is worth 90 and Derrick Henry 72, a gain of 18. If Derrick Henry starts for you and Kyren Williams would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Kyren Williams?

    Kyren Williams, 90 to 72. He rates 17.4 market points a game over 10 games left, against 15.6 over 10 for Derrick Henry, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:16 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number