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Trade Jaylen Waddle for Ollie Gordon II? No, Waddle is worth 12 more.

No on value. Jaylen Waddle is worth 30 rest of season and Ollie Gordon II 18, so giving up Waddle costs 12. Waddle rates 12.2 market points a game with 10 games left, Gordon 10.0 with 11. On usage, Waddle has drawn 22 percent of DEN targets; Gordon has 36 percent of MIA carries and 4 percent of its targets. Waddle is at ARI in Week 7 (10th most points allowed to WRs); Gordon is at NYJ in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to RBs). Jaylen Waddle is listed Questionable (chest).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Jaylen Waddle wins by 12.

Jaylen Waddle 3018 Ollie Gordon II

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WR21DENQuestionable

30

value, #47

Pts/game
12.2
Games left
10
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.512.412.210.812.2

18

value, #60

Pts/game
10.0
Games left
11
Bye
6
Ollie Gordon II weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection10.2no projection9.7

Where the values come from

Waddle is the 21st receiver on the chart and 47th overall. His 12.2 a game is 3.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 30.

Gordon is the 25th running back on the chart and 60th overall. His 10.0 a game is 1.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4, 12.2 in Week 5, 10.8 in Week 6 and 12.2 in Week 7, a median of 12.2 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Ollie Gordon II at 10.2 in Week 5 and 9.7 in Week 7, a median of 10.0 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Waddle has scored 55.1 PPR points in 6 games, 9.2 a game, 3.0 a game less than the 12.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR66 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 6.4 points (WR56 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 24 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Ollie Gordon II has scored 48.0 PPR points in 4 games, 12.0 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 10.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB68 with 54.1 PPR points in 17 games, 3.2 a game.

Week 2 vs SF: 0.7 points (RB76 that week), 7 rushing yards on 3 carries, 19 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs KC: 14.5 points (RB13 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIN: 18.0 points (RB16 that week), 100 rushing yards on 9 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CIN: 14.8 points (RB17 that week), 88 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 touchdown, 65 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.3 targets and 3.7 catches for 38 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 7 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against SEA he had 7 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has averaged 9.4 carries for 47 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 3 yards a game on 48 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against CIN he had 18 carries and 0 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Jaylen Waddle has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Ollie Gordon II has 11 games with no bye left.

ARI, Waddle's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

NYJ, Gordon's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Ollie Gordon II would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 12. Two players for Waddle also costs that side a roster spot.

Devaughn Vele's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Waddle for Ollie Gordon II?

    No on value: Jaylen Waddle is worth 30 and Ollie Gordon II 18, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Waddle.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Waddle or Ollie Gordon II?

    Jaylen Waddle, 30 to 18. He rates 12.2 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.0 over 11 for Ollie Gordon II, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number