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Trade Josh Downs for Ollie Gordon II? Close to even, 25 to 18.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Josh Downs is 25 and Ollie Gordon II is 18, a 7 point edge to Downs that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Downs rates 11.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Gordon 10.0 with 11. On usage, Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets; Gordon has 36 percent of MIA carries and 4 percent of its targets. Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs); Gordon is at NYJ in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Josh Downs 2518 Ollie Gordon II

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Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Ollie Gordon II

RB25MIA

18

value, #61

Pts/game
10.0
Games left
11
Bye
6
Ollie Gordon II weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection10.2no projection9.7

Where the values come from

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

Gordon is the 25th running back on the chart and 61st overall. His 10.0 a game is 1.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Ollie Gordon II at 10.2 in Week 5 and 9.7 in Week 7, a median of 10.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Ollie Gordon II has scored 48.0 PPR points in 4 games, 12.0 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 10.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB68 with 54.1 PPR points in 17 games, 3.2 a game.

Week 2 vs SF: 0.7 points (RB76 that week), 7 rushing yards on 3 carries, 19 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs KC: 14.5 points (RB13 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIN: 18.0 points (RB16 that week), 100 rushing yards on 9 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CIN: 14.8 points (RB17 that week), 88 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 touchdown, 65 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has averaged 9.4 carries for 47 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 3 yards a game on 48 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against CIN he had 18 carries and 0 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Josh Downs has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Ollie Gordon II has 11 games with no bye left.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

NYJ, Gordon's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to RBs of 32.

Other trades for Josh Downs and Ollie Gordon II

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Josh Downs for Ollie Gordon II?

    It is close to even: Josh Downs is 25 and Ollie Gordon II is 18 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Downs or Ollie Gordon II?

    Josh Downs, 25 to 18. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.0 over 11 for Ollie Gordon II, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 11:21 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number