Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Austin Ekeler in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Aaron Jones Sr.'s market-based projection is 7.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 65th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Austin Ekeler's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Austin Ekeler, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BUF he carried 5 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Austin Ekeler has been on the field for 25 percent of WAS snaps, taken 21 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have come 3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against SF he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he carried 8 times for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAR he carried 8 times for 16 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Austin Ekeler played 2 games and scored 13.1 PPR points, 6.6 a game, finishing RB103.

He carried 14 times for 43 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 5 of 7 targets for 38 more yards.

That came to 7.0 carries a game at 3.1 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr. was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Austin Ekeler 6.6, 3.3 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 that year and Austin Ekeler RB103.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 118 more carries than Austin Ekeler, 132 to 14.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 23 more catches than Austin Ekeler, 28 to 5.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger snap share, 32 percent against 25 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 32 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Austin Ekeler in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.