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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Jahan Dotson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 7:41 PM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 80 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Jahan Dotson's 71 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jahan Dotson 53 (5.3 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB40 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-0

Overall rank
119

WR40 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
6.9 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jahan Dotson, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jahan Dotson's market-based projection is 6.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 39 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against TB he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he carried 20 times for 94 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 25 times for 113 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jahan Dotson has been on the field for 70 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 2 of 3 targets for 54 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 2 of 4 targets for 54 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jahan Dotson played 17 games and scored 50.2 PPR points, 3.0 a game, finishing WR109.

He caught 18 of 36 targets for 262 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 50 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jahan Dotson was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Jahan Dotson 3.0, 6.9 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 and Jahan Dotson WR109, which are two different ladders.

Aaron Jones Sr. is a running back and Jahan Dotson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Jahan Dotson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jahan Dotson 53 (5.3 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jahan Dotson?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jahan Dotson 53 (5.3 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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