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Should I start Tyler Warren or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 10:06 AM ET.

Start Tyler Warren: 84 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Aaron Jones Sr.'s 32 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Warren for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Tyler Warren 95 (11.9 a game over 8 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE4 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
11.9 pts a game

RB24 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-2

Overall rank
59

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Warren, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Tyler Warren's market-based projection is 11.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.3 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 88 percent of IND snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 2 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 46 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 10 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Tyler Warren scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 1.2 a game between them.

Tyler Warren finished TE4 and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Warren is a tight end and Aaron Jones Sr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tyler Warren is off in Week 13 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Warren for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Tyler Warren 95 (11.9 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tyler Warren?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Tyler Warren 95 (11.9 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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