Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Xavier Hutchinson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Aaron Jones Sr.'s market-based projection is 7.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 109th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Xavier Hutchinson's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Hutchinson, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 33 percent of MIN snaps, taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BUF he carried 5 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 58 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 3 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 51 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have averaged 11.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he carried 2 times for 12 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 3 of 5 targets for 29 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Xavier Hutchinson was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Xavier Hutchinson 5.8, 4.1 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 and Xavier Hutchinson WR64, which are two different ladders.

Aaron Jones Sr. is a running back and Xavier Hutchinson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Xavier Hutchinson in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.