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Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Drew Lock in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 7:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Week 10 verdict

Start

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · SEA · at LV · Questionable

Market projects
14.8
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9
Start Rodgers or Lock? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock in Week 10: 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Drew Lock for Aaron Rodgers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB9 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs pass yds line 5-3

Overall rank
64

QB12 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Rodgers, and the board ranks him 64th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 16.6 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 12 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Aaron Rodgers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers has been on the field for 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 48 of 311 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 6 against TB he completed 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

In Week 7 against NO he completed 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

In Week 8 against CLE he completed 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Drew Lock has been on the field for 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 80 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against ARI he completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers played 16 games and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He threw for 3322 yards on 498 attempts with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.1 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers was available for 11 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers scored 14.6 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 14.6 a game between them.

Aaron Rodgers finished QB18 that year and Drew Lock QB73.

Aaron Rodgers had 495 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 498 to 3.

Aaron Rodgers had 3307 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 3322 to 15.

This season Aaron Rodgers holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Aaron Rodgers is off in Week 9 and Drew Lock in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Aaron Rodgers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drew Lock for Aaron Rodgers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Drew Lock?

    No. Keep Aaron Rodgers: he projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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