Start Aaron Rodgers or Drew Lock? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 7:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
Start Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock
- Market projects
- 16.6
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs QB
- 18.4
- 14th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 14.8
- fantasy pts
- LV D vs QB
- 20.6
- 5th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Drew Lock for Aaron Rodgers?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 16.6 points and Drew Lock at 14.8, a gap of 1.8. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 240 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 12 and 11 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for Drew Lock, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 203 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 6 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 7, 5, 6 and 7 market sources).
That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.8 points ahead of Drew Lock on the market projections.
Week 10 matchups
Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
Drew Lock and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
LV allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 251 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Drew Lock has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Drew Lock is listed as questionable with a oblique injury.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Through Week 9, Drew Lock played 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.
Drew Lock, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 14 yards.
Drew Lock, Week 2 against ARI: 70 of 70 snaps, 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Drew Lock, Week 9 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 18 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Drew Lock played 5 games for SEA and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.
He completed 2 of 3 passes for 15 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 6 times for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Drew Lock for Aaron Rodgers?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Drew Lock?
No. Keep Aaron Rodgers: he projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.8 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Aaron Rodgers playing Week 10?
- Is Drew Lock playing Week 10?
- Steelers depth chart
- Seahawks depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings