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Start J.J. McCarthy or Drew Lock? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 8:36 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : J.J. McCarthy: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · NYG · vs WAS · Questionable

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
20.6
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
26 of 100 at QB
Snap share
49%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · SEA · at LV · Questionable

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Drew Lock for J.J. McCarthy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.J. McCarthy projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 104 (14.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Drew Lock, 16.0 to 14.7 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start J.J. McCarthy over Drew Lock in Week 10.

Market-based projections have J.J. McCarthy at 16.0 points and Drew Lock at 14.7, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for J.J. McCarthy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.J. McCarthy is 211 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 19 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 13 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Drew Lock, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 202 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 5 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 7, 6 and 7 market sources).

That puts J.J. McCarthy 1.3 points ahead of Drew Lock on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

J.J. McCarthy and NYG host WAS on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 258 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Drew Lock and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 251 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, J.J. McCarthy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.J. McCarthy is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable with a oblique injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, J.J. McCarthy played 49 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 11.5 air yards per attempt.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 5 against WAS: 5 of 89 snaps, 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 6 against NO: 31 of 77 snaps, 11 of 17 passes for 243 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 26 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 7 against HOU: 61 of 66 snaps, 20 of 27 passes for 252 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 9 against PHI: 51 of 67 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 23 yards.

Through Week 9, Drew Lock played 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Drew Lock, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 14 yards.

Drew Lock, Week 2 against ARI: 70 of 70 snaps, 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Drew Lock, Week 9 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.J. McCarthy played 10 games for MIN and scored 137.4 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB30.

He completed 140 of 243 passes for 1632 yards, 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 37 times for 181 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drew Lock played 5 games for SEA and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He completed 2 of 3 passes for 15 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 6 times for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drew Lock for J.J. McCarthy?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. J.J. McCarthy projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 104 (14.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Drew Lock, 16.0 to 14.7 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop J.J. McCarthy for Drew Lock?

    No. Keep J.J. McCarthy: he projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 104 (14.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Drew Lock, 16.0 to 14.7 projected PPR points. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

Should I drop J.J. McCarthy?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board