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Start Malik Willis or Geno Smith? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:31 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Malik Willis: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Geno Smith over Malik Willis

Start

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · at IND · Questionable

Market projects
14.1
recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB
18.3
15th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Geno Smith for Malik Willis?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Malik Willis. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Geno Smith over Malik Willis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 15.0 points and Malik Willis at 14.1, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.0, 15.6 and 14.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Malik Willis this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (14.1, 14.1 and 14.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Malik Willis yet. His market-based projections were 14.1, 14.1 and 14.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 0.9 points ahead of Malik Willis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 254 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 9 against DET: 57 of 57 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 128 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Malik Willis?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Malik Willis. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Geno Smith?

    No. Keep Malik Willis: he projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Malik Willis. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

Should I drop Malik Willis?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board