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Start Aaron Rodgers or Malik Willis? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:31 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Malik Willis: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · MIA · at IND · Questionable

Market projects
14.1
recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB
18.3
15th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Malik Willis?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 8 games) and Malik Willis 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Malik Willis. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Malik Willis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 16.5 points and Malik Willis at 14.1, a gap of 2.5. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Malik Willis this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (14.1, 14.1 and 14.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Rodgers at ADP 231 and Malik Willis at 197.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Malik Willis yet. His market-based projections were 14.1, 14.1 and 14.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 2.5 points ahead of Malik Willis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 254 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 9 against DET: 57 of 57 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 128 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Malik Willis?

    Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 8 games) and Malik Willis 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Malik Willis. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Aaron Rodgers?

    Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games) and Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Malik Willis. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

Should I drop Malik Willis?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board