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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jack Bech? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Start

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
3.2
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs WR
23.3
fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
2 of 100 at WR
Snap share
36%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jack Bech in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9 points and Jack Bech at 3.2, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jack Bech this week yet, so his 3.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.2 and 3.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jack Bech yet. His market-based projections were 3.2 and 3.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.6 points ahead of Jack Bech on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

Jack Bech and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 100 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Jack Bech is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Jack Bech played 36 percent of LV snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Jack Bech, Week 2 against LAC: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards.

Jack Bech, Week 3 against NO: 11 of 70 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jack Bech, Week 8 against NYJ: 25 of 63 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jack Bech, Week 9 against SF: 17 of 50 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Jack Bech played 16 games for LV and scored 42.4 PPR points, 2.7 a game, finishing WR119.

He caught 20 of 29 targets for 224 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 156 air yards.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board