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Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Justice Hill in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 11:21 AM ET.

Start Adonai Mitchell: 65 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justice Hill's 49 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR58 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
10.4 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
149

RB50 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 5-4

Market-based projection
6.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
150

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 149th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 4 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Adonai Mitchell's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 17.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LV he caught 7 of 9 targets for 142 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against KC he caught 0 of 7 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill has been on the field for 44 percent of BAL snaps, taken 13 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 9 times for 85 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Justice Hill scored 6.5 PPR points a game and Adonai Mitchell 5.5, 1.0 a game between them.

Adonai Mitchell finished WR73 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Adonai Mitchell is a wide receiver and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Justice Hill?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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