Should I start Justice Hill or Keaton Mitchell in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 153rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keaton Mitchell, and the board ranks him 173rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justice Hill's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Justice Hill has been on the field for 44 percent of BAL snaps, taken 13 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 9 times for 85 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Keaton Mitchell has been on the field for 31 percent of LAC snaps, taken 21 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 79 third down targets, had 1 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against KC he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LAR he carried 4 times for 6 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against HOU he carried 7 times for 33 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Keaton Mitchell played 13 games and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He carried 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 more yards.

That came to 4-5 carries a game at 5.8 yards a carry and 0.7 catches a game.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Keaton Mitchell was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justice Hill scored 6.5 PPR points a game and Keaton Mitchell 4.3, 2.3 a game between them.

Justice Hill finished RB60 that year and Keaton Mitchell RB67.

Keaton Mitchell had 41 more carries than Justice Hill, 59 to 18.

Justice Hill had 12 more catches than Keaton Mitchell, 21 to 9.

This season Justice Hill holds the bigger snap share, 44 percent against 31 percent.

This season Keaton Mitchell holds the bigger share of the carries, 21 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Justice Hill is off in Week 13 and Keaton Mitchell in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.