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Should I start Daniel Bellinger or AJ Barner in Week 8?

Updated Oct 29, 3:21 AM ET.

Start AJ Barner: 89 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Daniel Bellinger's 47 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE29 · TEN · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-7

Market-based projection
3.0 pts a game

TE30 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
7.0 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
175

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Daniel Bellinger, and the board ranks him 169th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 175th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Daniel Bellinger's market-based projection is 3.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 156th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for AJ Barner is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

AJ Barner's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Daniel Bellinger has been on the field for 44 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 3.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 2 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CLE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, AJ Barner has been on the field for 88 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 62 third down targets, had 3 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 3 times for 4 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Daniel Bellinger played 16 games and scored 59.6 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE46.

He caught 19 of 26 targets for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 1.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Daniel Bellinger 3.7, 4.9 a game between them.

Daniel Bellinger finished TE46 that year and AJ Barner TE14.

AJ Barner had 42 more targets than Daniel Bellinger, 68 to 26.

AJ Barner had 233 more receiving yards than Daniel Bellinger, 519 to 286.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 88 percent against 44 percent.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 6 percent.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Daniel Bellinger.

What would change the answer

AJ Barner has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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