Should I start Dawson Knox or Daniel Bellinger in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Dawson Knox's market-based projection is 3.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 154th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Daniel Bellinger's market-based projection is 3.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 155th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dawson Knox, and the board ranks him 170th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Daniel Bellinger, and the board ranks him 171st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Dawson Knox has been on the field for 69 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 4.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 3 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Daniel Bellinger has been on the field for 44 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 3.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 2 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CLE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dawson Knox played 17 games and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.

He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 2.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 61 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Daniel Bellinger played 16 games and scored 59.6 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE46.

He caught 19 of 26 targets for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 1.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dawson Knox was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dawson Knox scored 6.1 PPR points a game and Daniel Bellinger 3.7, 2.4 a game between them.

Dawson Knox finished TE28 that year and Daniel Bellinger TE46.

Dawson Knox had 23 more targets than Daniel Bellinger, 49 to 26.

Dawson Knox had 131 more receiving yards than Daniel Bellinger, 417 to 286.

This season Dawson Knox holds the bigger snap share, 69 percent against 44 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 6 percent each.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.