Juwan Johnson or AJ Barner: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Juwan Johnson's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 76th highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 110th highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Juwan Johnson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on AJ Barner: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Juwan Johnson has been on the field for 70 percent of NO snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 5.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against LV he caught 8 of 8 targets for 53 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 6 of 8 targets for 59 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 5 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, AJ Barner has been on the field for 89 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 3 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 3 against WAS he caught 5 of 9 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Juwan Johnson played 17 games and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 12 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Juwan Johnson scored 10.6 PPR points a game and AJ Barner 8.7, 1.9 a game between them.

Juwan Johnson finished TE8 that year and AJ Barner TE14.

Juwan Johnson had 34 more targets than AJ Barner, 102 to 68.

Juwan Johnson had 370 more receiving yards than AJ Barner, 889 to 519.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 89 percent against 70 percent.

This season Juwan Johnson holds the bigger target share, 16 percent against 14 percent.

What would change the answer

4.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.