Should I start AJ Barner or Pat Freiermuth in Week 10?

The market-based projections

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 56th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Pat Freiermuth's market-based projection is 6.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Pat Freiermuth, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, AJ Barner has been on the field for 87 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 5 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 3 times for 4 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 2 of 5 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ARI he carried 3 times for 3 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 7 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 8, Pat Freiermuth has been on the field for 65 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 8.5 air yards.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 2 of 4 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth played 17 games and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Pat Freiermuth 6.7, 2.0 a game between them.

AJ Barner finished TE14 that year and Pat Freiermuth TE25.

AJ Barner had 14 more targets than Pat Freiermuth, 68 to 54.

AJ Barner had 33 more receiving yards than Pat Freiermuth, 519 to 486.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 65 percent.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger target share, 14 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11 and Pat Freiermuth in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.