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Start Tyler Higbee or AJ Barner? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:21 AM ET.

Start Tyler Higbee over AJ Barner

Start

Tyler Higbee

TE · LAR · at ARI

Market projects
8.5
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs TE
16.1
9th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
100 of 100 at TE
Snap share
64%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9
Sit

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · at LV

Market projects
7.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs TE
18.2
4th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at TE
Snap share
87%
Through Week 9
Target share
14%
Through Week 9

Should I drop AJ Barner for Tyler Higbee?

Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 47 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 7 games) and Tyler Higbee 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Higbee over AJ Barner.

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Tyler Higbee rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tyler Higbee over AJ Barner in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tyler Higbee at 8.5 points and AJ Barner at 7.3, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyler Higbee this week yet, so his 8.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (9.4, 9.3 and 6.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for AJ Barner this week yet, so his 7.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (7.0, 8.2 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Higbee yet. His market-based projections were 9.4, 9.3 and 6.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for AJ Barner yet. His market-based projections were 7.0, 8.2 and 6.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Tyler Higbee 1.2 points ahead of AJ Barner on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Tyler Higbee and LAR visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ARI.

AJ Barner and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 4th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and a touchdown a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, AJ Barner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Higbee is not on the injury report.

AJ Barner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Tyler Higbee played 64 percent of LAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Higbee, Week 6 against ARI: 48 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards.

Tyler Higbee, Week 7 against LV: 53 of 72 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Tyler Higbee, Week 8 against LAC: 45 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Tyler Higbee, Week 9 against WAS: 60 of 75 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Through Week 9, AJ Barner played 87 percent of SEA snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Barner, Week 6 against DEN: 79 of 85 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 7 against KC: 55 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 4 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 8 against CHI: 60 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 23 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 9 against ARI: 48 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 3 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Higbee played 10 games for LAR and scored 71.1 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing TE40.

He caught 25 of 36 targets for 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 141 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Barner played 17 games for SEA and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 248 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Tyler Higbee?

    Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 47 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 7 games) and Tyler Higbee 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Higbee over AJ Barner.

  • Should I drop Tyler Higbee for AJ Barner?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Higbee projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 7 games) and AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Higbee over AJ Barner.

Should I drop Tyler Higbee?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board