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Should I start AJ Barner or Pierre Strong Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:26 PM ET.

Start AJ Barner: 93 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Pierre Strong Jr.'s 49 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Pierre Strong Jr. for AJ Barner?

Yes, on the rest of the season. AJ Barner projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Pierre Strong Jr. 63 (6.3 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE19 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

RB39 · GB · bye 11

Overall rank
119

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 117th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Pierre Strong Jr., and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 108th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Pierre Strong Jr. at 4.1 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Pierre Strong Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, AJ Barner has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 2.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Pierre Strong Jr. has been on the field for 49 percent of GB snaps, taken 33 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have come 0.7 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 5 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 11 times for 28 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 39 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for Pierre Strong Jr. in the last completed season.

Side by side

AJ Barner is a tight end and Pierre Strong Jr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Pierre Strong Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Pierre Strong Jr. for AJ Barner?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. AJ Barner projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Pierre Strong Jr. 63 (6.3 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Pierre Strong Jr.?

    No. Keep AJ Barner: he projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Pierre Strong Jr. 63 (6.3 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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