AJ Barner or Terrance Ferguson: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price AJ Barner at 6.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 158th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Terrance Ferguson at 5.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 books. That is the 166th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on AJ Barner: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 141st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Terrance Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 146th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, AJ Barner has been on the field for 88 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 7 third down targets and seen 1 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have come 0.5 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against NE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Terrance Ferguson has been on the field for 51 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 24.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against SF he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Terrance Ferguson played 14 games and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 1.8 targets a game, a 44 percent catch rate and 21.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Terrance Ferguson 3.7, 4.9 a game between them.

AJ Barner finished TE14 that year and Terrance Ferguson TE52.

AJ Barner had 43 more targets than Terrance Ferguson, 68 to 25.

AJ Barner had 288 more receiving yards than Terrance Ferguson, 519 to 231.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 88 percent against 51 percent.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger target share, 8 percent against 4 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.