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Should I start Corey Kiner or A.J. Brown in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 8:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : TreVeyon Henderson: Questionable to Out (Illness) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)

Start A.J. Brown: 68 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Corey Kiner's 16 percent of the snaps and 26 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Corey Kiner for A.J. Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.4 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB49 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 0-7

Market-based projection
6.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
140

WR52 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
142

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Corey Kiner, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 142nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has A.J. Brown at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Corey Kiner's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Corey Kiner has been on the field for 13 percent of NE snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have come 4.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against NYJ he carried 11 times for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he carried 4 times for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he carried 7 times for 38 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 68 percent of NE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 7 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Corey Kiner played 4 games and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He carried 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 more yards.

That came to 3.0 carries a game at 4.8 yards a carry and 0-1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 11 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Corey Kiner 2.3, 12.4 a game between them.

Corey Kiner finished RB112 and A.J. Brown WR11, which are two different ladders.

Corey Kiner is a running back and A.J. Brown a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Corey Kiner for A.J. Brown?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.4 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Corey Kiner?

    No. Keep A.J. Brown: he projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.4 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Should I drop Corey Kiner?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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