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Should I start A.J. Brown or Ollie Gordon II in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 2:46 PM ET.

Latest

  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)
  • : A.J. Brown: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Ollie Gordon II: 82 percent of the snaps and 71 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 68 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR40 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
97

RB33 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 4-3

Market-based projection
11.4 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
98

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has A.J. Brown at 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

A.J. Brown's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 68 percent of NE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 7 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 50 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 5 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have come 1.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against NYJ he carried 25 times for 103 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NE he carried 19 times for 69 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 11.5 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 and Ollie Gordon II RB68, which are two different ladders.

A.J. Brown is a wide receiver and Ollie Gordon II a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Ollie Gordon II in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as out on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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