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Should I start Tyler Allgeier or A.J. Brown in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 2:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Zonovan Knight: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)

Start A.J. Brown: 68 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tyler Allgeier's 54 percent of the snaps and 43 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for A.J. Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 57 (7.1 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB42 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
4.3 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
122

WR49 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
123

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has A.J. Brown at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 4 of its 29 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 57 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have come 2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 8 times for 19 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 11 times for 147 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 44 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 68 percent of NE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 7 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 7.5 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 and A.J. Brown WR11, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Allgeier is a running back and A.J. Brown a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tyler Allgeier is off in Week 14 and A.J. Brown in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for A.J. Brown?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 57 (7.1 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep A.J. Brown: he projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 57 (7.1 a game over 8 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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