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Should I start A.J. Brown or Garrett Wilson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 7:21 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson

Brown projects lower, 15.6 to 16.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 27 for Wilson.

Start

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
81 of 100 at WR
Snap share
60%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
16.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
23.2
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
55 of 100 at WR
Snap share
90%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6
Start Brown or Wilson? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson in Week 7. Brown projects lower, 15.6 to 16.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 27 for Wilson. Brown is listed questionable.

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 7 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR8 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game

WR64 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
163

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The gap

  • Board size303 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 163rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 1.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Garrett Wilson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Garrett Wilson 14.2, 0.5 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Garrett Wilson WR62.

A.J. Brown had 62 more targets than Garrett Wilson, 121 to 59.

A.J. Brown had 608 more receiving yards than Garrett Wilson, 1003 to 395.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 60 percent.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Garrett Wilson in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Garrett Wilson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 7 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Garrett Wilson for A.J. Brown?

    No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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