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Should I start Jared Goff or Baker Mayfield in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:36 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

QB · DET · vs GB

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
GB D vs QB
13.6
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
54 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 5
Sit

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB
18.6
13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
37 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 3
Start Goff or Mayfield? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Jared Goff: his market-based projection is 1.2 points a game ahead of Baker Mayfield's this season.

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB10 · DET · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Market-based projection
17.2 pts a game

QB16 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.2 points a game
  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Jared Goff's market-based projection is 17.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Baker Mayfield's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 30th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jared Goff, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 103rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Jared Goff has been on the field for 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 207 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 31 of 207 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 3 against NYJ he completed 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 4 against CAR he completed 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against ARI he completed 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 118 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jared Goff played 17 games and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He threw for 4564 yards on 578 attempts with 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 34.0 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jared Goff scored 17.9 PPR points a game and Baker Mayfield 16.6, 1.3 a game between them.

Jared Goff finished QB9 that year and Baker Mayfield QB12.

Jared Goff had 35 more pass attempts than Baker Mayfield, 578 to 543.

Jared Goff had 871 more passing yards than Baker Mayfield, 4564 to 3693.

This season Jared Goff holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 98 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Jared Goff is off in Week 6 and Baker Mayfield in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Baker Mayfield?

    No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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