Start Jared Goff or Baker Mayfield? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield

Start

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 17.2; fantasy pts
GB D vs QB: 13.6; 5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 54 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 5

Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 16.0; fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 37 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 3

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 17.2 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.0, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Jared Goff at ADP 106 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 279 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 13, 7, 6 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 216 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 17 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 13, 7 and 12 market sources).

That puts Jared Goff 1.2 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jared Goff and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 13.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 209 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.5 interceptions a game.

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable with a thumb injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 207 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield played 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jared Goff for Baker Mayfield?
No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 17.2 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.