Should I start Chase Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 44th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 4.2 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 and Tetairoa McMillan WR16, which are two different ladders.

Chase Brown is a running back and Tetairoa McMillan a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.