Should I start Derrick Henry or Breece Hall in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 13.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Breece Hall's market-based projection is 13.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 49th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 29th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 55 percent of BAL snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 17 times for 57 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 3.5 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Breece Hall RB19.

Derrick Henry had 64 more carries than Breece Hall, 307 to 243.

Breece Hall had 21 more catches than Derrick Henry, 36 to 15.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger snap share, 55 percent against 54 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 68 percent against 62 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.