Should I start Joe Burrow or Breece Hall in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Joe Burrow's market-based projection is 21.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Breece Hall's market-based projection is 13.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 50th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 30th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 57 of 321 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against TEN he completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 9 against ATL he completed 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Breece Hall was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 4.5 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 and Breece Hall RB19, which are two different ladders.

Joe Burrow is a quarterback and Breece Hall a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Breece Hall in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.