Should I start Brenton Strange or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 100th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 107th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brenton Strange, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 75 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Brenton Strange is a tight end and Caleb Douglas a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brenton Strange is off in Week 7 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.