Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Brenton Strange in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 9.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 75th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 84th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brenton Strange, and the board ranks him 84th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 75 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 12 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Brenton Strange 9.8, 0.7 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 that year and Brenton Strange TE23.

Brenton Strange had 11 more targets than Dalton Kincaid, 60 to 49.

Dalton Kincaid had 31 more receiving yards than Brenton Strange, 571 to 540.

This season Brenton Strange holds the bigger snap share, 75 percent against 66 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 18 percent each.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.