Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 79th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.'s market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 94th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyle Pitts Sr., and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 68 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 9.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 55 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 0.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against SF he caught 5 of 5 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr. was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 1.9 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 that year and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 69 more targets than Dalton Kincaid, 118 to 49.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 357 more receiving yards than Dalton Kincaid, 928 to 571.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger snap share, 68 percent against 55 percent.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Dalton Kincaid is off in Week 7 and Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Dalton Kincaid is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.