Should I start Brenton Strange or Justice Hill in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 64th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 80th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brenton Strange, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 75 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Brenton Strange was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brenton Strange scored 9.8 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 3.3 a game between them.

Brenton Strange finished TE23 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Brenton Strange is a tight end and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brenton Strange is off in Week 7 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Justice Hill is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.