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Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 7:16 AM ET.

Start Brian Thomas Jr.: 52 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Brian Robinson Jr.'s 27 percent of the snaps and 32 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR47 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
3.7 pts a game

RB45 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Overall rank
132

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Robinson Jr., and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 128th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Brian Robinson Jr. at 2.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Brian Robinson Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 52 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson Jr. has been on the field for 31 percent of ATL snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 1.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he carried 14 times for 62 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against BAL he carried 7 times for 16 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CHI he carried 2 times for 1 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Robinson Jr. played 17 games and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He carried 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 more yards.

That came to 5.4 carries a game at 4.3 yards a carry and 0-1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Brian Robinson Jr. was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Brian Robinson Jr. 3.7, 6.2 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 and Brian Robinson Jr. RB63, which are two different ladders.

Brian Thomas Jr. is a wide receiver and Brian Robinson Jr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Brian Robinson Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Brian Robinson Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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