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Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jordan Watkins in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:06 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

WR · SF · vs LV

Market projects
4.0
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
33.8
11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at WR
Snap share
52%
Through Week 7
Target share
6%
Through Week 7
Sit

WR · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
3.5
fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR
35.0
8th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
66 of 100 at WR
Snap share
52%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Start Watkins or Thomas? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Jordan Watkins: he has been on the field this season, 63 percent of the snaps, and Brian Thomas Jr. has no snap on record yet. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR27 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
3.5 pts a game

WR · SF · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
not on the board

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Our board does not carry Jordan Watkins at all right now: live drafts have stopped taking him and there is no player market on him this week, so he has no rank, no tier and no ADP here.

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Jordan Watkins, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. has drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Jordan Watkins has been on the field for 52 percent of SF snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 16.0 air yards.

In Week 5 against SEA he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 1 of 1 target for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jordan Watkins played 4 games and scored 4.6 PPR points, 1.2 a game.

He caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 0.8 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 13.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr. was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Jordan Watkins 1.2, 8.8 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 88 more targets than Jordan Watkins, 91 to 3.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 681 more receiving yards than Jordan Watkins, 707 to 26.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 6 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Jordan Watkins.

What would change the answer

Jordan Watkins has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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