Should I start Josh Cameron or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Josh Cameron's market-based projection is 4.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 55th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Cameron, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 73rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Josh Cameron has been on the field for 35 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 6.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. has drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

Josh Cameron is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.