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Should I start Marvin Harrison Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 4:26 PM ET.

Start Brian Thomas Jr.: 43 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the targets over their last 2 games, against Marvin Harrison Jr.'s 34 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR47 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game

WR77 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
4.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
186

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The gap

  • Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Harrison Jr., and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 19; 2QB: ADP 41.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 186th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 127th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Marvin Harrison Jr. has been on the field for 34 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 19 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 16.9 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 1 of 4 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BAL he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Marvin Harrison Jr. played 12 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR49.

He caught 41 of 73 targets for 608 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 6.1 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 14.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr. was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Marvin Harrison Jr. scored 10.7 PPR points a game and Brian Thomas Jr. 9.9, 0.7 a game between them.

Marvin Harrison Jr. finished WR49 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 18 more targets than Marvin Harrison Jr., 91 to 73.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 99 more receiving yards than Marvin Harrison Jr., 707 to 608.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 43 percent against 34 percent.

This season Marvin Harrison Jr. holds the bigger target share, 11 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Marvin Harrison Jr. is off in Week 8 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Brian Thomas Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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